Political Demography as an Indicator of the Future of Security

Abstract

Throughout history, the ebb and flow of populations—through natural growth, epidemics, and migration—has been linked to the rise and fall of empires, to conquests and revolutions, rebellion, civil war, and the rise and collapse of entire societies and civilizations. Demographic trends allow us to anticipate future developments in size and distribution of population groups. As such, demography is a harbinger of challenge and opportunity, a multiplier of conflict and rogress, and a resource for power and prosperity.